Includes bibliographical references and index.

The art and science of systems and risk analysis -- The role of modeling in the risk analysis process -- Identifying risk through hierarchical holographic modeling -- Decision analysis -- Multiobjective trade-off analysis -- Defining uncertainty and sensitivity analysis -- Risk filtering, ranking, and management -- Risk of extreme events and the fallacy of expected value -- Multiobjective decision-tree analysis -- Multiobjective risk-impact analysis method -- Statistic of extremes: extension of the PMRM -- Bayesian analysis and the prediction of chemical carcinogenicity -- Fault trees -- Multiobjective statistical method -- Principles and guidelines for project risk management -- Applying risk analysis to space missions -- Risk modeling, assessment, and management of terrorism -- Case studies -- Appendix: Optimization techniques -- Index.